Take the raincoat and maybe leave the umbrella at home.
An approaching storm could bring rain, high winds and maybe even hail to New York City and the suburbs on Monday.
The National Weather Service is forecasting a thunderstorm that could bring potentially damaging winds to the area as a cold front moves through Monday afternoon into evening, with the worst expected in the mid-lower Hudson Valley, weather forecasters said. meteorologists.
There is even a chance, albeit a small 2-5%, of an isolated tornado, according to meteorologist John Murray of the NWS office in New York.
“With the wind shear and instability, there is an environment where there could be an isolated tornado,” Murray said Sunday afternoon. “But the main threat should be damaging winds.”
What are the chances that the storm will be strong? When the NWS Storm Prediction Center forecasts a storm, it advises whether an area has an “increased,” “marginal,” or “slight” risk of severe weather.
For Monday’s storm, parts of the Hudson Valley were in the “improved” category as of Sunday afternoon. New York City and western Long Island are in the “marginal” category, while eastern Long Island is at “slight” risk.
If the storm hits hard, the NWS forecasts the possibility of hail up to an inch in diameter, Murray said. Severe weather potential is generally expected between 2 pm and 10 pm, he said.
“Most of the activity is expected to be within that time range,” he said. “Severe weather threats include damaging winds with wind gusts of at least 58 miles per hour, with large hail also possible.”
The weather should clear by Tuesday, the NWS said, with a sunny and windy day and a high of 77 degrees and a low of 55 degrees.