Latest forecast update from Meteorologist Rob Lindenmuth:
ALBANY, NY (NEWS10) – Today was another warm and muggy afternoon with emerging thunderstorms. That activity will come to an end tonight and we will remain muggy with overcast skies and spotty fog developing overnight. Warm weather continues into Monday ahead of a cold front. This cold front will trigger thunderstorms, some of which will have the potential to become strong to severe overnight.
A strong cold front across the Great Lakes tonight will push northeastward Monday afternoon and evening. This will be the “spark” for the storms to develop through Monday night, they will develop in an environment capable of producing strong thunderstorms with damaging winds and potentially large hail, we cannot rule out an isolated tornado either. Much cooler air follows for the middle of the week with gusty winds likely for Tuesday.
Storm Prediction Center has all of eastern New York in the Adirondacks at an enhanced risk (3/5) on the threat category scale. This means that numerous severe storms are possible in these areas, some of which could become locally intense. The slight risk extends to western New England, this does not mean that you will not see a strong to severe storm. Everyone must watch the sky on Monday afternoon.
The risks, as mentioned above, are greater with the potential for wind damage, as any storms that do develop could produce damaging winds. Hail will also be a relatively high threat, as well as heavy rain which could raise localized flooding concerns. The other concern will be the threat of a tornado or two. The environment will be able to create some spin as these storms roll in, so we need to mention the threat. The best time for these storms will be from 2 pm to 8 pm
Futurecast shows some storms starting to shoot up ahead of the main convection line as of 2pm tomorrow afternoon. These could have the potential to become severe.
By early afternoon, the main line of thunderstorms will begin to work through the region at the highest forcing. These are the storms that could produce wind damage and even an isolated tornado. Take into account the ‘weather’ of any plans you may have on Monday afternoons and evenings.
Behind these storms, winds will pick up Monday night bringing cooler, drier air for the middle of the week with highs in the 60s to 70s. We slowly warm back up towards the end of the week, probably in the upper 70s and lower 80s by Friday. The heat is on as we start next weekend with temperatures in the upper 80s with plenty of humidity. This could lead to some pop-up thunderstorms and also bring slightly cooler air for next Sunday with highs reaching into the mid 70s. Have a great night and please stay safe on Monday. -Steal